Monday, December 28, 2009

Christmas 2009

It came as fast as any before it and left even faster. It is of course Christmas I speak of and so many folks this year found themselves wondering what more could I ask for. Well except for cash to pay off all the crap we owe money on of course.

I have told my wife and relatives buy me CDs and Vinyl records, books. I still get socks and things I may have asked for 5 years ago.

Kelly did an amazing job on the kids. She always does. I am happy to see them happy. The tunes of this year were Grizzly Bear, Nina Simone, Pearl Jam, Sarah Vaughn and Prince.

I will keep you tuned in. I am not sure anyone reads this, I do more on Facebook. Well, see you soon. Brandon's birthday is coming soon. My wish is to still have a job for the whole of the coming year with the company I am with. I really want them to be enormously successful. Well cross your fingers and let's see what happens.

Peace.

Tuesday, November 3, 2009

New Genome Technology May Actually be of Value

I was amused and not amused. I read in an article in BusinesWeek how the financial folks were shocked to find that genome research products have value in determining health and predictive value for patients. This from the Voodoo monkeys on Wall Street? Seriously?

I have yet to see them honestly explain what they do. I figured it out, it just is not commensurate with the press releases they post. An example is "Earnings were up, but analysts expected that and stocks take a tumble."

The truth? Yeah, a lot of folks bet on the revenue being up, but that meant the long bet would be on it going down. The options traders came out ahead by betting on it going down and the 70% who think earnings and stock value are related got spanked.

Get it? It's betting, but you need to know the spread, no different than Football, Basketball or any sport where the spread is important. Know the time on your options both covered calls and puts and you may come out ahead.

On genomics, the issue is how does what we determine today relate to health tomorrow? We find these things out as we get more information. The end result is we do not know for sure today but will definitely use this info to move forward. That is a winning bet any time.

Tuesday, October 6, 2009

H1N1 and Where are we Going?

Epidemiology and Impact

Updated Influenza Data for United States, Based on CDC Surveillance Data

(CDC, Influenza Division. FluView. Available at: http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/ Accessed September 16, 2009.)

  • The week of September 7-12, 2009 showed that outpatient visits for influenza-like illness (ILI) were increased and that 1378 of 7569 (18%) tested specimens were positive for influenza. Of 685 influenza strains that were subtyped, 679 (99.6%) were 2009 influenza A (H1N1) viruses, 4 were type B, and 2 were seasonal H1N1.
  • Testing of 562 2009 H1N1 strains showed that all were related to the A/California/07/2009 reference virus used in the vaccine.
  • Sensitivity tests done on 1148 2009 H1N1 isolates showed 8 (0.6%) to be resistant to oseltamivir; review of these cases showed that all 8 patients had documented prior exposure to oseltamivir.
  • During the week of September 7-12, pneumonia and influenza accounted for 6% of US deaths. This is below the epidemic threshold of 6.3%.

Schools. The CDC reported that about 25,000 students were dismissed from secondary schools on September 2, 2009. (McKay B, Simpson C. Fighting flu without big gun. Wall Street Journal. September 9, 2009. Available at: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB125245538175894251.html Accessed September 16, 2009.)

Colleges. During the week of September 12-19, 2009, US colleges and universities reported 6432 cases of influenza at 253 schools enrolled in the American College Health Association. A University of Michigan study indicated a 50% reduction in cases with hand hygiene and facemasks. (Steenhuysen J. Flu on campus: What works, what doesn't. Reuters. September 18, 2009.)

USA Today reports that 73% of US colleges and universities are declaring ILIs. Highest rates are in the Southeast and Midwest. Most cases are mild, but Tom Skinner of the CDC noted that some people "may feel like a train hit them." The most common symptoms are fever to 101-102° F, headache, aches, chills, sore throat, and cough. Students are told to rest in their rooms, take fluids, and not to go out. (Weise E. Most US campuses already reporting flu-like sicknesses. USA Today. September 9, 2009. Available at: http://www.usatoday.com/news/health/2009-09-09-swine-flu-college_N.htm Accessed September 16, 2009.)

Washington State University reported the largest outbreak of ILI, with an estimated 5400-9000 cases among 18,000 students, as well as several thousand staff. The illness is reported to be mild and last 3-5 days. Approximately 2600 students have contacted the University Health Service and about 500 have seen physicians. No tests for 2009 H1N1 are being done. One reason given for the early epidemic at this university may be the early start of classes -- August 24.(Geranios NK. Swine flu hits Washington State Univ. The Associated Press, Washington Post, September 8, 2009. Available at: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/09/08/AR2009090802899.html Accessed September 16, 2009.)

Businesses. A national survey of 1057 randomly selected businesses in 6 categories (small, medium, large; critical or noncritical) was conducted by the Department of Homeland Security and the Harvard School of Public Health The study was funded by the CDC and took place between July 16 and August 12, 2009. Key findings from the survey of businesses (Harvard Opinion Research Program, Harvard School of Public Health. Business Preparedness: Novel Influenza A (H1N1). July 16-August 12, 2009. Available at: http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/news/press-releases/2009-releases/businesses-problems-maintaining-operations-significant-h1n1-flu-outbreak.html Accessed September 16, 2009.):

  • 74% provide paid sick leave; 34% offer leave to care for others; 21% provide sick leave to care for children;
  • 67% would note operational problems if 50% of workforce was off more than 2 weeks;
  • Paid sick leave is offered by 74% and 35% allow paid sick leave to care for family members;
  • A doctor's note is required for sick leave by 43%, and 69% that offer sick leave require a doctor's note to return after a contagious illness (relevance is concern about physician access in a pandemic);
  • Strategies to decrease person-person contact (like staggered shifts) could be implemented by 50% for 1-2 weeks.

Click here for information about business planning for influenza.

Nursing homes. No outbreaks of the 2009 H1N1 virus have been reported to the CDC. This is attributed to the advanced ages of most persons in chronic care facilities, which is a reduced risk for this virus.

Hospitals. Many anticipate a surge of H1N1 influenza cases in the coming influenza season based on the experience in the Southern hemisphere. The President's Advisors estimate that there will be a 30%-50% attack rate this winter with 1.8 million hospitalizations, which will pose extreme challenges for hospitals. A 2006 Institute of Medicine report indicated that emergency medicine nationwide was "at the breaking point" in both finances and capacity. (Committee on the Future of Emergency Care in the United States Health System, Institute of Medicine. Emergency Medical Services: At the Crossroads. Washington, DC: National Academies Press; 2007.)

An analysis by the Center for Biosecurity at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center estimated that a severe pandemic would require 4.6-fold more ICU beds and 2-fold more hospital beds. (Bartlett JG, Borio L. Healthcare epidemiology: the current status of planning for pandemic influenza and implications for health care planning in the United States. Clin Infect Dis. 2008;46:919-925.)

These concerns are compounded by the lack of a vaccine for the 2009 H1N1 virus before mid-October and the fact that there may be only enough vaccine for 25% of the target population (assuming that a single dose is required).

Social conventions in France. French companies and schools are discouraging the common greeting of a cheek kiss or hug. Others are also discouraging the handshake and the "high five." (Schipoliansky C, Cox L. Swine flu cuts the kiss in Europe. ABC News, September 9, 2009. Available at: http://abcnews.go.com/Health/SwineFluNews/swine-flu-cuts-kiss-europe/story?id=8520227 Accessed September 16, 2009.)

Monday, June 15, 2009

To Prevent Heart Attack, First Get Fat.. Then Loose a bit of Weight?!!

This article is a CME certified activity. To earn credit for this activity visit:
http://cme.medscape.com/viewarticle/703966

From Heartwire CME

Obesity Paradox Probed in New Review CME

News Author: Shelley Wood
CME Author: Laurie Barclay, MD

CME Released: 06/05/2009; Valid for credit through 06/05/2010

June 05, 2009 — Despite being a key cause of heart disease, obesity appears to be protective in a range of cardiovascular problems, a new review concludes [1]. But that doesn't mean people shouldn't try to lose weight, lead author on the paper, Dr Carl J Lavie (Ochsner Medical Center, New Orleans, LA), told heartwire . Indeed, patients who fare the best seem to be obese patients who manage to lose some weight, he said.

"First, obesity is a very strong risk factor and increases all types of heart disease, but second, once you get heart disease, the obese patients do better, so their prognosis is not doomsday," Lavie explained. "In fact, if you have obese patients with congestive heart failure or coronary heart disease or other heart disorders, those patients actually have a pretty good prognosis if they are treated well. But third, the ones who lose weight do even better."

According to Lavie, there is solid evidence to suggest that being overweight or obese may improve survival, not just in heart failure, but also in diseases like hypertension, coronary artery disease, and peripheral artery disease.

"There are a large number of cardiologists who don't even recognize that this is the case, and they are confused about it, too. It is honestly a confusing topic because if obesity is so bad, and it contributes to all cardiovascular risk factors and markedly increases the prevalence of developing heart disease of almost every type, then why, once they get it, do obese patients do better?"

The new review appears in the May 26, 2009 issue of the Journal of the American College of Cardiology (JACC) [1].

Obesity Likely Protects Through Various Mechanisms

The protective effects of excess weight have been best documented in heart-failure patients, where patients with higher body weight or percent body fat have demonstrated better event-free survival. In this setting, says Lavie, extra weight may function much the same way it does with cancer and other chronic diseases, by providing the body with additional fuel to help fight the disease.

Less well known is the relationship between obesity and hypertension, Lavie et al note. While people who are obese do have more hypertension, five papers spanning almost 20 years also point to the fact that obese people with hypertension seem to have lower mortality and/or lower stroke risk, despite less effective blood-pressure control, than do normal-weight people. In this setting, obese patients "may have a better prognosis in part because of having lower systemic vascular resistance and plasma renin activity compared with more lean hypertensive patients," Lavie et al write.

Also incompletely understood is the paradoxical relationship of obesity and coronary and peripheral artery diseases. Obesity is believed to play a causal role in the development of a number of major risk factors for arterial disease, among them hypertension, dyslipidemia, and diabetes, and is believed to be, in and of itself, a risk factor for atherosclerosis. But according to the JACC authors, there is also literature to suggest that overweight and obese coronary heart disease patients have a lower risk for mortality compared with under- and normal-weight coronary heart disease patients who have undergone revascularization procedures. A similar contradictory relationship has been seen in patients with peripheral artery disease.

Speaking with heartwire , Lavie emphasized that the protective effects of excess weight and excess fat likely function in different ways in different diseases. "We know that fat cells do a lot of bad things, but it's certainly conceivable that in advanced disease, the fat cell could have some beneficial effects. There's still a lot that needs to be known about this process."

Weight Loss Still Key

A key new piece of the puzzle that emerged in Lavie et al's review, however, is that weight loss, often touted as a way to reduce cardiovascular risk, appears to be a good thing in spite of the protective effects of extra weight.

"For people who follow this field, these kinds of findings have led them to question whether weight loss is good for heart-disease patients. . . . We found that the patients who do the best are the obese patients who lose weight."

This additional contradiction may be explained in part by the theory that heart disease in obese patients is likely "a different disease" than heart disease in lean people, in whom genetic factors are probably more important. "It may be that the obese person wouldn't have even gotten blocked arteries if [he] hadn't gained 70 pounds over a 30-year period," Lavie said. "The thin person who gets blocked arteries or congestive heart failure or high blood pressure is probably different from the obese patient who got the disease from becoming obese."

For now, he says, it's important particularly for the general public to appreciate that the "protective" effects of obesity in no way provide a rationale for weight gain. "Very clearly," he said, "if no one in our country became overweight or obese, heart-disease rates would go down dramatically."

For physicians, the data today are sufficiently comprehensive for them to encourage their overweight and obese patients to stay motivated to reduce their risk factors. That wasn't always the case, he added. "When people were finding this in their data, five and six years ago, they probably had some trouble getting their papers published, because it didn't make any sense."

The authors do not list any disclosures.

References

  1. Lavie CJ, Milani RV, Ventura HO. Obesity and cardiovascular disease. Risk factor, paradox, and impact of weight loss. J Am Coll Cardiol 2009; 53:1925–1932.

Clinical Context

The prevalence of obesity in US adults increased by nearly 50% during the 1980s and 1990s, resulting in nearly 70% of adults being classified as overweight or obese vs fewer than 25% 4 decades ago. Compared with the increase in the proportion of the population with overweight and mild obesity, the proportion with morbid obesity has increased by an even greater extent.

The morbidity attributable to obesity is even greater vs smoking, alcoholism, and poverty. Based on current projections, obesity may soon become the leading cause of preventable death in the United States (which is now cigarette abuse).

Study Highlights

  • Overweight in adults is defined as body mass index of 25 to 29.9 kg/m2 and obesity as body mass index of 30 kg/m2 or more.
  • Indices of obesity that may have more predictive power vs body mass index include body fatness, waist circumference, waist-to-hip ratio, and weight-to-height ratio.
  • In both adults and children, obesity has reached global epidemic proportions, which may result in an end to the steady increase in life expectancy.
  • Many comorbid conditions have been linked to obesity, including hypertension, type 2 diabetes mellitus, and dyslipidemia.
  • In addition to type 2 diabetes, obesity may contribute to other increases in insulin resistance such as glucose intolerance and metabolic syndrome.
  • Dyslipidemias linked with obesity include elevated total cholesterol; triglycerides; low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; apolipoprotein-B; and small, dense low-density lipoprotein cholesterol particles; and decreased high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and apolipoprotein A-1 levels.
  • Obesity increases the risk for cardiovascular abnormalities, including left ventricular concentric remodeling or hypertrophy, endothelial dysfunction, increased systemic inflammation and prothrombotic state, and systolic and diastolic dysfunction.
  • Obesity is linked to increased prevalence and severity of cardiovascular diseases including heart failure, coronary heart disease, sudden cardiac death, and atrial fibrillation.
  • Noncardiovascular diseases associated with obesity include obstructive sleep apnea, sleep-disordered breathing, albuminuria, osteoarthritis, and specific cancers.
  • The importance of obesity in the pathogenesis and progression of cardiovascular disease is confirmed by overwhelming evidence.
  • Overall survival duration is decreased in obese patients.
  • The obesity paradox refers to the unexpectedly better short- and long-term prognosis, confirmed by evidence from clinical cohorts of patients with established cardiovascular diseases (eg, hypertension, heart failure, coronary heart disease, and peripheral arterial disease) of overweight and obese vs nonoverweight/nonobese people with these diseases.
  • Reasons for the obesity paradox are unclear.
  • Obese patients with hypertension may have a better prognosis vs those who are lean, possibly because of lower systemic vascular resistance and plasma renin activity.
  • Excess body weight may offer some protection against heart failure mortality, perhaps because of more metabolic reserve and protective cytokines and neuroendocrine profiles.
  • The review also describes current understanding of the role of weight reduction in preventing and treating cardiovascular disease.
  • Despite the obesity paradox, the bulk of evidence still supports voluntary weight loss for prevention and treatment of cardiovascular disease.
  • Lifestyle interventions (exercise training and energy restriction resulting in mild weight loss) may reduce risk for type 2 diabetes by nearly 60%.
  • Patients with hypertension who lose weight have significant decreases in arterial pressure.
  • In heart failure, weight loss may be associated with improvements in left ventricular mass and in systolic and diastolic ventricular function.
  • Bariatric surgery in obese patients is associated with short- and long-term reductions in major morbidity and all-cause mortality, particularly related to cancer, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and long-term lowering of cardiovascular risk.
  • More research is needed in the metabolic consequences of obesity, the pathophysiologic effects of obesity on cardiovascular risk factors and disease, and the potential risks and benefits of purposeful weight loss.

Clinical Implications

  • Many comorbid conditions have been linked to obesity, including cardiovascular risk factors such as hypertension, type 2 diabetes, and dyslipidemia. Cardiovascular abnormalities associated with obesity include left ventricular concentric remodeling or hypertrophy, endothelial dysfunction, increased systemic inflammation and prothrombotic state, and systolic and diastolic dysfunction.
  • Reasons for the obesity paradox, or the unexpectedly better prognosis of obese vs nonobese patients with established cardiovascular diseases, are unclear. Despite the obesity paradox, the bulk of evidence still supports voluntary weight loss for prevention and treatment of cardiovascular diseases.

Wednesday, June 3, 2009

Feed the Kids?

I was sitting listening to MPR with only half my brain into it. Multi-tasking as life seems to find a regular occurrence with so many of us. No one should think of beaming us up, there is a part of us multi-tasking somewhere else and god knows what would happen in this world. A voice pierced through my haze and said something I had never paid much attention to. But I had been witness to just moments before. My two boys were at their Cub Scout "Graduation Picnic." We as usual made a lot more food than needed. we had the party at Bryn Mawr park, not far from the church where the den considers it's hang-out to-be. Children who had no parents watching them kept eyeing the food we had. One of the parents said the picnic was for the scout kids. Something told me this was not what we thought it was. I asked the outside kids to come and join us, plenty of food for all. These kids grabbed and ran, as if I might change my mind if they stuck around too long. I wondered where were mom and or dad. only I knew the answer. when Kelly and I rented apartments a few years ago, we regularly had to get food and drinks for little people. their parents often nowhere to be seen. too poor, too stoned, too something that prevented these kids from experiencing life the way American kids hould experience it. Thoughts in their heads, fun in heir hearts and food in the belly. I left after it was over, the picnic that is. When I got home I turned on the radio and heard something I hadn't thought of before. Maybe I was somewhat intellectually off the mark, if not quite lazy, per-se. MPR was mentioning that many kids get their only decent meals through the school lunch program. Once summer arrives, they do not get regular meals. What can I do? Man I know I can do something. My boys and I regularly volunteer to feed the homeless. We could connect the dots. these kids may not show up at any church for food. but.. what if we took the meals on wheels concept and got food for kids. but to keep their dignity, we would pretend they won the lottery. Steve, I ask for your guidance. we can do this. Kari, I am a little slow to the draw, so help me figure this out with friends at our next meeting. Erica, David, anyone and everyone, please share your ideas. We can kick this damn thing and help a few kids out. Maybe get other groups to share in the idea. Help me with this one.

Thursday, April 23, 2009

New Music (for me)

Yes I love it list:
Kings o Convenience "Riot on an Empty Street"
the Black Kids "Partie Traumatic"
Decemberists "the Hazards of Love" What can I say, they are just awesome damn it-
U2 "No Line on the Horizon"
Supreme Beings of Leisure "S2"
Morrissey "Years of Refusal"
Fleet Foxes Self Titled and the EP
Niko Case "Middle Cyclone"
Yeasayer "All Hour Cymbals"
Seal "Soul"
Cat Power "The Greatest"
DeVotchka "Curse Your Little Heart"
Robbie Williams "Intensive Care"
Tricky "Knowle West Boy" This one is a classic. Just phenomenal. I am anxious for the new Massive Attack one comming out soon.

Not as much as I hoped (still ok though)
Depeche Mode "Sounds of the Universe" (Hoped for something as good as "Playing the Angel" but alas, let down. Maybe I will change my mind down the road).
Bad Plus "For All I Care"

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

Roaches Inspire (the Artificial) Heart

Inspired by roaches, Indian scientists develop artificial heart

19/03/2009 14:48 NEW DELHI, March 19 (RIA Novosti) - A group of scientists from the Indian city of Kharagpur have created a unique artificial human heart similar to the heart of a cockroach, the supervisor of the project told RIA Novosti.

Unlike humans, who die of cardiac arrest when one of their four heart chambers fails, cockroaches easily survive in a similar situation because their hearts have 13 chambers, Sujoy Guha said.

He said the Indian researchers' 13-chamber design will make their total artificial heart (TAH) more resilient than the models currently in use. The device will be made of metal and plastic and cost about $2,000 - one-thirtieth of the price of standard TAHs.

It took the research team of the Indian Institute of Technology three years to complete the first prototype of their artificial heart. It was successfully tested on frogs, and tests on goats are scheduled to begin in May.

Tests on animals are scheduled to be completed in a year. If the tests are successful, the first Indian TAH could be implanted into a human patient in three years.

Trains In Vain

The Clash had a song called Train in Vain (you didnt stand by me). A great song and my apologies for stealing the title.

This is not about the clash. I am ranting about the fact that we lack a high speed rail system in Mid America. Part of life for me includes driving pretty regularly to place like Fargo and Bismarck, ND, Sioux Falls, SD, Omaha and Lincoln, NE, St Cloud, Rochester and Duluth MN, as well as Des Moines, IA.

As I drive these exciting stretches of land I keep thinking about how cool would it be if my car could drive for me. I could sit in the passenger seat and get a lot of stuff done. Use the internet and be productive. Get reports done, make phone calls to customers and avoid accidents.

That is already available in Europe. they are called high speed rails. Japan has them too. Of course, they have more people. 

What spurred this rant that I am prone to having so often? Well glad you asked.

When I was in Europe, especially in Germany, I got to use the rail system and learned to be efficient an dare I say fellin love with it. It was smooth and it was pretty quick and it worked very well.

In the midwest we can choose a few options. Car, which takes time. Bus which takes time. Limited rail without much amenities, which takes time. Planes which cost money and often are not that fast. They still plug up the sky and the tarmac as well.

I was listening to NPR and the discussion was the airline industry. They are, like always, suffering. They are competitive, they suffer. fuel prices are high they suffer. Now the fuel prices are low and the economy is down...they are suffering.

High speed rail that is integrated with the airports can help. They could do package deals and draw on a large auddience of folks who could not consider air travel in the past for short jaunts.

I would love it because I can get work done, it could be energy efficient and the air would e safer with less planes fighting for the same space.